Market Analysis: One month of Vista

It’s been a month since Windows Vista has been released to public. At that time, I was presenting you with a forecast on how Vista will overcome XP in the next years.

The figures were right, after a month of worldwide availability, most tech guys agree that Vista isn’t yet ready to replace the eXPerience. The main problem isn’t caused by the operating system itself, it’s caused by the software that comes along with it and the dependencies.

Let’s take IE7 for example. At the beginning, IE7 was vulnerable to phishing, so they had to release a patch. It seems the patch was built for Windows XP, and Vista will get the same update later on, when the end users will have access to the new operating system. It seems that Rus Cooper from Cybertrust has another theory, I’m going to quote below.

“I say Microsoft never intended anybody to run Vista prior to January. What works on Vista, beyond Office 2007? I’m going to Vista … when my VPN supplier tells me that they have drivers that work, and when my anti-virus vendor tells me that they have non-beta versions that work.”

That’s a good point of view. Most end-users need those applications he mentioned. And I honestly don’t see the popular software they use being compatible with Vista by the end of January. One way or another, Microsoft hopes more and more users will start migrating to the new OS, and the users are hoping for a better application support and compatibility.

We shall live and we shall see.